What will Iran do if it is attacked by the United States or Israel?
Despite confident pronouncements by Iranian leaders that the West will not dare to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, the Iranian regime has, on orders from Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, been preparing for this eventuality by means of a comprehensive emergency plan called ‘Passive Defense.’ Examination of the plan reveals that the regime’s main fear is of an attack on Iran’s vital infrastructures, which would ultimately lead to its downfall. Therefore, alongside a defense doctrine based on preemptive attack, long-range ballistic missiles, and asymmetric guerilla warfare, it has formulated a doctrine of ‘passive defense,’ based mainly on cooperation between regional Passive Defense Councils and the regime’s popular militia, the Basij.
An intriguing read.
For another view, by Patrick Clawson and Michael Eisenstadt, click here.
I’ve visited Iran once, in 1979, and remember the country and its people fondly. To underestimate their pride and determination would be a mistake of Rumsfeldian proportions. Before the Bush era, I would’ve been inclined to believe common sense will prevail. Now I’m not so sure.